Obstacles and chances on the way to the new development and employment model

Abstract

Very negative economic trends in the Serbian economy are caused very negative economic effects, such as low rate of GDP, very big inflation, growth of debt, unemployment and reduce of the life standard. In this conditions Government of the Serbia does main directions of the economic development in the future ten years. In this paper analysis of the Serbian economic trends in the first year of the Model implementation are done, such as results in the first quarter of the 2012. It is concluded that forecast results are very optimistic and unreal, and in the real conditions are unreal. On the way of the new model of the economic development and employment it is suggested rational using of the domestic sources, it means human at the firs place, and to take the future economic development to expert team, which has competitions for solving economic problems in the future.

Veoma nepovoljna privredna kretanja, koja već duži niz godina karakterišu srpsku privredu, dovela su do negativnih ekonomskih efekata poput niske stope rasta bruto domaćeg proizvoda, visoke stope inflacije, povećanja zaduženosti, nezaposlenosti i pada životnog standarda. U takvim uslovima Vlada Republike Srbije donela je nove smernice za naredni desetogodišnji period koje se tiču modela budućeg privrednog razvoja. U ovom radu izvršena je analiza poslovanja domaće privrede u prvoj godini primene modela kao i u prvom kvartalu tekuće godine. U radu se došlo do zaključka da su prognozirani pokazatelji isuviše optimistički postavljeni i da su u realnim uslovima privređivanja za sada nedostižni. Na putu ka novom modelu privrednog razvoja i zapošljavanja predlaže se racionalno korišćenje domaćih resursa, pre svega kadrovskih, kao i poveravanje budućeg privrednog razvoja timu eksperata koji bi na kompetentan način dugoročno rešili ekonomske probleme domaće privrede.